The final Infostrada Sports Virtual Medal Table release provides good news for the United States team. With an expected 16 golds, nine silver and four bronze medals, the US team is projected to finish two gold medals ahead of Norway. Read More
However, medal tables in the USA are ordered in terms of total medals and under this method it is the Norwegians, with a total of 37 medals who are expected to lead the final medal table. Canada with, 33 medals including 11 golds, and Germany with 29 medals are projected to round off the leading quartet of medal winning nations.
Alpine skier Ted Ligety, bobber Steven Holcomb and speed skater Shani Davis look the most likely Americans to win multiple medals at this year's Winter Games. The US team is expected to pick up medals in 10 of the sports which will be hosted in Sochi.
Some late changes in the Infostrada Sports Virtual Medal Table have moved Russia up to fifth place with six gold, seven silver and four bronze medals. Short track skater Victor An is the most likely Russian hero in Sochi with a forecast of gold, silver and bronze in his individual events. Cross country skier Alexander Legkov is another potential success story for the Russian team. Read More
The Russian medal total is expected to be shared across nine sports indicating the all-round challenge of the host nation. The vast majority of medals though are expected to come from Russia's men with only snowboarder Ekaterina Tudegesheva currently occupying a medal position in an individual women's event.
Although 17 medals will be an improvement for Russia on their performance in Vancouver four years ago, it falls some way short of the likely top four nations who are all expected to pick up at least 29 medals at this year's Games.
Twenty six NOC's are currently projected to win medals at the 2014 Winter Games with 21 of them expected to win gold. This would be a record equalling performance as 26 nations also made the podium in both Torino and Vancouver. Read More
Seven NOC's – Belgium, Bulgaria, Denmark, Hungary, New Zealand, Slovakia and Spain - do not have a projected medal but do have contenders who are currently ranked in the top-8 of the Infostrada Sports Virtual Medal Table.
All of the 33 NOC's currently projected at least one top-8 position in Sochi by the Virtual Medal Table have won medals before at Winter Games. There is therefore little chance of an NOC winning its first ever Winter Games medal in 2014.
Using performances in all winter sports events with world class fields from the 2010 Olympic Games in Vancouver to the present day, we are able to produce a prediction of the results for the 2014 Olympic Games in Sochi if they were held tomorrow. This forecast is in the form of the top-8 in order for each of the medal events at the Games and an overall medal table.
The VMT is a statistical model based on results in Olympic Games, World Championships and World Cups (or equivalent). It takes account of the following: